✦ Weekly Stock Pick

June 15, 2026

US Market Close — Monday

7,554.29
S&P 500 +1.65%
26,683.94
NASDAQ +3.07%
51,671.03
DJIA +0.92%
16.17
VIX -8.54%
$81.44
WTI Oil -4.05%
4.469%
10Y Yield -0.40%

🕊️ The Big Picture — Iran Peace Deal Hopes

The dominant narrative today is US-Iran peace deal talks. Oil CRASHED 4% to $81.44 as the US reportedly nears a ceasefire with Iran, reversing weeks of Strait of Hormuz tension. This triggered a massive rotation: energy stocks crushed (XOM -4.14%), tech surged on lower inflation expectations, and the NASDAQ had its best day in weeks (+3.07%).

MarketWatch: "All eyes are now on the bond market as oil prices fall. Will the Fed hike?" Lower oil = lower inflation = more Fed flexibility. 10Y yield fell to 4.469%. Gold spiked +2.34% to $4,338.

🚀 SpaceX IPO — $2.1T & Still Growing

SpaceX raised another $10.7 billion, pushing the IPO toward record territory. The $2.1T valuation has analysts divided — MarketWatch warns it "may soon become its own worst enemy." RKLB rebounded +6.70% as one analyst called the SpaceX-fueled selloff "misguided," noting RKLB's fundamentally different business model and $5B+ in contract wins.

💻 Computex N1X Momentum Continues

ARM +8.24%, NVDA +3.54%. The N1X PC chip revolution narrative remains intact, with Jensen Huang's "reinvention of the computer" still driving momentum weeks after Computex. ARM capturing PC market share through NVDA/MSFT partnership.

💾 Micron (+10.84%) — Earnings Catalyst Window Opens

MU surged 10.84% to $1,088 ahead of its June 24 earnings. AI memory demand (HBM for NVDA GPUs) is structural. Memory prices firming. Analyst calls increasingly bullish. This is the clearest pre-earnings momentum play in the market right now.

🔮 Past Picks Performance (Updated)

Rough period for many positions. Multiple picks reversed into red. ARM (May 25) remains the champion at +35.14%. Quantum holdings still green but gave back gains. Energy picks (XOM) crushed by oil collapse. Space stocks (FLY, RKLB) volatile on SpaceX IPO.

📈 RECOMMENDATION #1: MU (Micron Technology)

Price: ~$1,088 | Entry: Near market

Thesis: Pre-earnings momentum play with clear catalyst (June 24). AI memory super-cycle via HBM for NVDA. Memory prices firming. +10.84% today confirms momentum. Analyst targets bullish. The AI infrastructure buildout requires massive memory.

Risk: Extended after today's move. Earnings could disappoint. Memory cycle is cyclical.

📈 RECOMMENDATION #2: ARM (Arm Holdings)

Price: ~$412 | Entry: Near market

Thesis: Structural AI PC revolution. N1X chip partnership with NVDA/MSFT is a multi-year catalyst. ARM architecture entering the PC market for the first time ($150B+ TAM). +8.24% today on continued Computex momentum. Strong volume. Already proven (+35% from May 25 entry).

Risk: High valuation (P/E 490). Momentum could reverse. Competition from x86.

✦ Key Events This Week
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